According to a recent report by Meticulous Research®, the electric bus market is expected to reach $100.39 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 23.4% from 2024 to 2031. In terms of volume, the market is anticipated to expand to 341,601 units by 2031, with a CAGR of 22.4% during the same period. The report, "Electric Bus Market by Propulsion Type, Battery Type, Bus Length, Power Output, Sector, & Geography - Global Forecast to 2031," provides an in-depth analysis of the market dynamics.
Growth Drivers
The growth of the electric bus market is primarily driven by increased government initiatives to electrify public transportation and significant investments by major automotive manufacturers in EV technologies. The PM-eBus Sewa Scheme launched by the Indian government in August 2023 is a notable example, aiming to deploy 10,000 electric buses across 169 cities with a substantial $2.4 billion investment.
Market Challenges
Despite the optimistic growth forecast, the electric bus market faces challenges including high purchase costs and the need for extensive charging infrastructure. These issues need to be addressed to accelerate the adoption of electric buses, particularly in regions where such infrastructure is currently lacking.
Opportunities for Market Expansion
Significant growth opportunities exist due to the rise of smart city projects and increasing demand for electric buses in emerging markets. Overcoming challenges related to range limitations and infrastructure will be critical to capturing these opportunities.
Segment Analysis
Propulsion Type
The market is divided into battery electric, hybrid, and fuel cell buses. Battery electric buses are expected to hold the largest market share in 2024, driven by strict emission regulations and government support. The hybrid electric buses segment is anticipated to grow at the highest CAGR due to increasing demand for eco-friendly transport solutions.
Bus Length
The electric bus market is segmented by bus length into less than 9 meters, 9 meters–12 meters, and more than 12 meters. The 9 meters–12 meters segment is expected to dominate the market in 2024, while the more than 12 meters segment is projected to grow the fastest due to its ability to transport more passengers and reduce congestion.
Battery Type
Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries are projected to hold the largest market share in 2024 due to their long life and reliability. This segment is also expected to grow the fastest, driven by the increasing use of LFP batteries in commercial electric vehicles and their recyclable properties.
Power Output
The 200 kW to 400 kW segment is expected to lead the market in 2024, driven by advancements in fast-charging technology and the growing adoption of electric buses with mid-range power output. This segment is also projected to experience the highest growth rate.
Sector
The public sector will dominate the market in 2024, accounting for 81.9% of the market share. This growth is attributed to the increasing demand for fuel-efficient public transport and government initiatives to incorporate electric buses into public transit systems. The private sector is also expanding but at a slower pace.
Regional Market Overview
Asia-Pacific is anticipated to hold the largest market share in 2024, driven by favorable government policies, environmental concerns, and a strong demand for sustainable transport solutions. The region is also expected to experience the highest growth rate, supported by investments in EV technology and collaborative efforts to promote green transportation.
Conclusion
The electric bus market is on a robust growth trajectory, driven by government initiatives, technological advancements, and rising demand for sustainable public transport. Addressing the challenges of high costs and infrastructure limitations will be key to sustaining growth and achieving a more sustainable future for urban transit.
Key Players:
Some of the key players operating in the electric buses market are BYD Company Limited (China), Yutong Bus Co., Ltd. (China), Volvo Group (Sweden), NFI Group Inc. (Canada), Solaris Bus & Coach sp. z o.o. (Poland), Daimler Truck Group (Germany), Tata Motors Limited (India), Hyundai Motor Company (South Korea), Ebusco B.V. (Netherlands), Olectra Greentech Limited (India), Xiamen King Long United Automotive Industry Co., Ltd (China), Anhui Ankai Automobile Co., Ltd. (China), Zhongtong Bus Holding Co., Ltd. (China), MAN Truck & Bus SE (Germany), and Switch Mobility Limited (U.K.).
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Key questions answered in the report-
• Which are the high-growth market segments based on propulsion type, battery type, bus length, power output, and sector?
• What was the historical market for electric buses?
• What are the market forecasts and estimates for the period 2024–2031?
• What are the major drivers, restraints, and opportunities in the electric bus market?
• Who are the major players, and what shares do they hold in the electric bus market?
• What is the competitive landscape like in the electric bus market?
• What are the recent developments in the electric bus market?
• What are the different strategies adopted by the major players in the electric bus market?
• What are the key geographic trends, and which are the high-growth countries?
• Who are the local emerging players in the global electric bus market, and how do they compete with the other players?
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